Nifty Bank Nifty FinNifty Probability Insights

  Using Predictive Analytics for Fixed Income (Bond Yield) Trading Bond Markets are much bigger than the Stock Market in terms of Volume. The movement of Bond Yields also impacts the Stock Markets. As can be seen in last couple of days that US bond yields have been moving in upward direction, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield reaching a three-month high which has impacted global stock markets move in downward direction. In this post, I share some examples on How Predictive Analytics can help us predict the direction of the Bond Yield as well as the likely Quantum of the movement next 1 month (22 trading days). Two matching patterns are identified that are nearest to the current pattern. i.e. One record above the current pattern and one record below the current pattern. Example 1 For Sep-17-2024 The US 10 years Bond Yield matched the pattern of April-11-2008 of US 10 Year Bond Yields and March-14-2016 of US 30 years Bond Yield. All other parameters indicated that Pattern of Sep-

  SEBI has published a report that states 91% (7.3 million individual traders) made losses in Derivatives Trading in the year 2023-24. I think Most of the traders are aware that majority of traders will lose money in derivatives but they still continue to trade that includes me. While most of the people have their own reasons to trade, Here I share my thoughts on why I continue to trade in Derivatives. I have passed through losses in derivatives but I shifted my focus to Equity and again came back to derivatives with below details. Approach – I avoid intraday trading and zero DTE. I am aware I am trading against large traders and their algorithms that I cannot beat in speed or for small gains. I keep analysis and execution parts separate. I prefer to trade manually so I take less  derivatives positions with positional reasons but some times exit on same day if data is suggesting. I always hedge my positions so there is no big gain or  loss at any time. Asset allocation - Although many