Nifty and Bank Nifty Probability Insights Update for 1-August-2023

 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered.

Nifty and Bank Nifty Probability Insights Update for 1-August-2023

Nifty

#Nifty

Spot Nifty has 6612 days of historical data. Overall prediction accuracy as on 31-July-2023 is 54.06% for Nifty.

The pattern identified for 31-July-2023 was a noisy one and probability distribution for positive close was 49.49% and negative close was 50.51%. Nifty closed at 19753.80  above the previous day close of 19646.05.

Following are the probability insights based on the new pattern for 1-Aug-2023

There are 1802 trading days that matches the pattern to the close of the previous day close

There are 1042 trading days that had positive close compared to previous day close, with Average 0.84%, Minimum 0% and Maximum 6.69%.

The probability of positive close greater than compared to previous day close of 19753.80 on 1-Aug-2023 is is  57.82%

There are 760 trading days that had negative close compared to previous day close, with Average -0.86%, Minimum -0.0006% and Maximum -8.23%.

The probability of negative close lower than compared to previous day close of 19753.80 on 1-Aug-2023 is 42.18%

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Bank Nifty

#BankNifty #NiftyBank

Spot Bank Nifty has 4356 days of historical data. Overall prediction accuracy as on 31-July-2023 is 52.81% for Bank Nifty.

Following are the probability insights based on the new pattern for 1-Aug-2023

There are 1015 trading days that matches the pattern to the close of the previous day close

There are 572 trading days that had positive close compared to previous day close, with Average 1.33%, Minimum 0.003% and Maximum 15.83%.

The probability of positive close greater than compared to previous day close of 45651.10 on 1-Aug-2023 is 56.35%

There are 443 trading days that had negative close compared to previous day close, with Average -1.35%, Minimum -0.004% and Maximum -20.09%.

The probability of negative close lower than compared to previous day close of 45651.10 on 1-Aug-2023 is 43.65%

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