Nifty Outlook for 29-Nov-2023 based on Option Chain data as on EOD 28-Nov-2023 for Expiry on 30-Nov-2023

Predictive Analytics - Data-driven patterns based prediction

Jai Jinendra,

Previous trading day prediction review

Nifty futures opened at 19889.95 with intraday high of 19955, intraday low of 19827.90 and closed at 19953

Nifty futures data was pointing towards19750 on lower side and 19980 on upper side. The market remained within that range.

Next trading day prediction (Futures). 

Nifty Outlook for 29-Nov-2023 based on Option Chain data as on EOD 28-Nov-2023 for Expiry on 30-Nov-2023

  • Nifty Data is pointing towards 20000 and 20139 (Futures).
  • Nifty spot Support 19700 and no major Resistance. 

Note - 

1, If Prediction is pointing towards high, and market opens high next day then check the risk reward else avoid such trade. Same for opposite side.

2. Why sometimes system parameters provides two predictions on opposite sides?

Such scenario happens for different reasons (1) Weekly or monthly expiry has happened but complete rollover has not happened on the expiry day but operator has planned it for next trading day (2) Global uncertainties, when large players want to wait for overnight developments and then decide on direction to take.  (3) Sideways Markets.

3. Global Uncertainties and events like US FOMC meets etc  could cause some disruption. 

4. Why some of the expiries miss the predicted direction?

There is not much premium left due to premium decay near expiry so market may take opposite direction of prediction. Sometimes it takes direction based on next expiry data.

5. Instead of using my predictions for trading, use it as second opinion to supplement to your own analysis. 

Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. It is based on quantitative approach using Predictive Analytics. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html        

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Next 20 days Outlook of SPX based on Patterns from Historical Price Data as on EOD Jan-5-2024

टीसीएस नाम का व्याकरण शास्त्र से विश्लेषण

Next 20 days Outlook of SPX based on Patterns from Historical Price Data as on EOD Jan-12-2024