Nifty Outlook for 3-Nov-2023 based on Option Chain data as on EOD 2-Nov-2023 for Expiry on 9-Nov-2023

 Predictive Analytics - Data-driven patterns based prediction

Jai Jinendra,

Previous trading day prediction review

Nifty was expected to move towards 19000 but that did not happen. Instead of going down, it went up. There are two possible reasons for this. (1) Last night fed made announcement of holding the interest rates had a positive impact on US markets and same impact happened here in India. (2) Since it was a expiry day and most of the options premium get lower due to theta decay, market might move in different direction. This will have to be observed for few more expiries before making any conclusion.  

Next trading day prediction

Nifty Outlook for 3-Nov-2023 based on Option Chain data as on EOD 2-Nov-2023 for Expiry on 9-Nov-2023

Data is pointing towards 19443 (Futures). 

Nifty spot Support 18700 to 18800 and Resistance 19300 to 19400 

If Nifty crosses and closes above the resistance of 19400 then next resistance is 19700 to 19800.

Note - 

1, If Prediction is pointing towards high, and market opens high next day then check the risk reward else avoid such trade. Same for opposite side.

2. Why sometimes system parameters provides two predictions on opposite sides?

Such scenario happens for different reasons (1) Weekly or monthly expiry has happened but complete rollover has not happened on the expiry day but operator has planned it for next trading day (2) Global uncertainties, when large players want to wait for overnight developments and then decide on direction to take.  (3) Sideways Markets.

3. Global Uncertainties and events like US FOMC meets etc  could cause some disruption.  

Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. It is based on quantitative approach using Predictive Analytics. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html    

Location: India

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