Nifty Bank Nifty FinNifty Probability Insights

FinNifty 0DTE (Zero days to expiry)  Outlook for 3-Oct-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 29-Sep-2023 for expiry of 3-Oct-2023  Data is pointing towards 20050 Levels mentioned is for Futures not Spot. Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. It is based on quantitative approach using Predictive Analytics. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html 

Nifty Outlook for 3-Oct-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 29-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry of 5-Oct-2023 is pointing towards 19725 Levels mentioned is for Futures not Spot. Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html 

Nifty Outlook for 29-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 28-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry of 5-Oct-2023 is pointing towards 19550 Levels mentioned is for Futures not Spot. Next major support expected around 19400 (+/- 50 points) Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

Nifty Outlook for 28-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 27-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 19625 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

Bank Nifty Outlook for 27-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 26-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 27-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 44400 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

  Nifty Outlook for 27-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 26-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 19400 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

 Nifty Outlook for 26-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 25-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 19400 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

Zero Days to Expiry 0DTE for Nifty Midcap outlook for expiry on 25-Sep-2023 based on EOD data of 22-Sep-2023 #NiftyMidcap Option Chan data for expiry on 25-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 8962.50 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

Nifty Outlook for 25-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 22-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 19475 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

 Nifty Outlook for 22-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 21-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 19664 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

  Nifty Outlook for 20-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 18-Sep-2023 Nifty Option Chain data for expiry on 21-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 20110, 20000  Nifty Option Chain expiry for 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 20176, 20300. Chances of Nifty moving towards 20176. Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

 Nifty Outlook for 18-Sep-2023 based on Option Chain Data as on EOD 15-Sep-2023 Option Chan data for expiry on 21-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 20300,  Option Chain expiry for 28-Sep-2023 is pointing towards 19950. Higher chances of Nifty correcting towards 20000. Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome. I am not SEBI registered. For more details on Probability Analysis refer the FAQ in link below https://www.marketprobabilityinsights.com/p/what-is-probability-analysis.html

How much more momentum do we have in Nifty Rally for 2023? What is expected in 2024-2025? Nifty is creating all time highs and there is all around bullishness in the market. However, it will be interesting to know how much momentum do we still have for 2023? It would also be interesting to know what could be expected in 2024. Note - This post has been written on 14-Sep-2023. We still have 3.5 months for 2023 to get over. The number for 2023 are mentioned as on this date. The table below shows count of All Time Highs that Nifty had in each year since 1997 to 2023.  The Chart below represents the above data. Blue color bars represent count of ATH in a given year and Red line percentage represents % of change in next year ATH count compared to previous year count of ATH. It can be seen that visually there is some visual similarity between period of 2007 to 2014 and 2021 to 2023, although number of year are not same. As it can be seen that 2008 and 2009 had collectively -1650% of fall comp

Probability Insights of #Nifty for 15-Sep-2023 NIFTY - Patterns based probability prediction Overall back testing of Prediction accuracy as on 14-Sep-2023 is 54.70%. There are totally 6643 trading days of historical price data of Nifty. There are 393 trading days matching the pattern with that of close on  143-Sep-2023 Following is patterns based probability analysis for 15-Sep-2023 There are 229 trading days with positive close. There is 58.26% probability of spot Nifty closing > previous day close of  20103.10 There are 164 trading days with negative close. There is 41.74 % probability of spot Nifty closing < previous day close of  20103.10 Note - Probability analysis does not take into consideration and news flows that can force market to take different direction compared to anticipated path. also refer disclaimer below.  Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could b

  Interpreting direction and targets based on Nifty Option Chain Data The images below are from January 2022 monthly expiry data from Nifty Option Chain Data that was from 31-Dec-2021 to 27-Jan-2022. The images shown for the example are from 3-Jan-2022, 4-Jan-2022, 17-Jan-2022 and 18-Jan-2022. The images have been generated after data transformation of vanilla option chain data. At the high levels all these images might look similar but each of them is conveying different message in terms of direction and targets. The red line and blue line are crossing each other twice. The cross over on the left is the expected target in case of market falling down and cross over on the right is the expected target in case of market rising. 1. Bullish Scenario - If you notice the peak on 3-Jan-2022 is touching 17500 while on 4-Jan-2022 it touches 17700. This conveys markets are expected to rise. Bullish position can be created at CMP 17850. 2. Bearish Scenario - If you notice the peak on 17-Jan-2022

  An Early Warning System is a system which allows one to know in advance of upcoming events with its severity that is on its way, and informs how anyone can act to minimize the impending impacts.  After January 2008 markets fall, I had analyzed the monthly data of preceding six months (July 2007 to December 2007) of various asset classes to know if it was possible to know in advance of upcoming market falls. I make sure at the end of every calendar month to analyze, how does the preceding six months picture look like? especially when everyone is also talking of if and when the recession is expected? My analysis from March 2023 to August 2023 shows 19% similarity compared to 100% at the time of July 2007 to December 2007. As of now most of the world stock markets are moving forward, It needs to be seen if this 19% similarity points towards mild correction or not?

#Nifty outlook based on Option Chain Data for 4-Sep-2023 Outlook is positive with movement towards 19600.  #BankNifty outlook based on Option Chain Data for 4-Sep-2023 Outlook is positive with movement towards of 44700  and 44900. #FinNifty outlook based on Option Chain Data for 4-Sep-2023 Outlook is positive with movement towards 19900 #MidCap outlook based on Option Chain Data for 4-Sep-2023 Outlook is positive with movement towards 8930 Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  I don't charge or offer any paid service. The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome.  Sudden change, newsf lows and   Low volume instrument option chain data might not move as expected. I am not SEBI registered. For mo